The Blizzard that Wasn’t

Why the botched prediction really bothers me.

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Comments (14)

(13) Anonymous, July 27, 2015 5:39 PM

the wedding that WAS

My granddaughter got married that Sunday night in Lakewood. N,J, We left early in the day so we had no problem traveling.
But many people from N.Y. and Conn. could not make the trip.
The roads were closed that night so we had to stay over,
My son was going to put people up in motels but his friends and neighbors offered lodging. So it all worked out in the end,
Just a little nerve wracking.
Yes, HKBH certainly runs the show!

(12) Dvirah, February 5, 2015 9:49 PM

Extenuation

If you expected something unpleasent and it didn't happened, just say "Baruch HaShem!" Incidentally, there's a song with words by Mark Twain called "Everyone Talks About the Weather" with the refrain on the weatherman: "He will be wrong, of that you can be sure. It is the lot in life he must endure." So this is hardly a new problem!

(11) Pauline, February 3, 2015 12:58 AM

It is annoying that the media works things up into a frenzy of panic for many. Of course it was good for them to advice people to be prepared. By the way, a weather person is not incorrect about a report, if they say 90% chance of rain, and it does not rain. In statistics, what the weather person is saying is, 90% of the time that the conditions are like they are, it rains. AND 10% of the time that the conditions are like they are, it does not rain.

(10) SusanE, February 2, 2015 8:59 PM

Don't Listen to anything on the TV

I live in the Groundhog Town. Our groundhog predictions are wrong 60% of the time, and even then Phil does better than most weathermen. - - - - - - - - It's winter in the Northeast. Keep food and emergency supplies on hand. It's going to snow and it's going to get cold. Who needs a weatherman for that? - - - However Rabbi, the accuracy of the donkey with the rope tail is amazingly correct 99 percent of the time. . - - - - - If the tail is moving, it's windy. If the tail is wet, it's raining. If the tail is stiff, it's freezing. If the tail is white, it's snowing.

(9) Anonymous, February 2, 2015 3:33 PM

Yes, but

I agree - but. All this pointing fingers and ridicule is VERY dangerous. Do we really want to take responsibility for all the people who will decide that they know better next time around. For those who decide it is "All just hype" and don't listen to the warning and recommendations by the next major storm?!

(8) Sidney, February 2, 2015 3:23 AM

Right On

Rabbi I agree with you fully on this one with regard to the haughtiness of the weathermen.
The MTA (a NY state agency) was not much better shutting down even the completely underground portions of the NYC subway system (the first time for snow) rather than coming up with a contingency plan for limited local track service (so that the unused cars do not have to be outside but can be stored on the express tracks underground).
However sometimes the weatherman gets unjustified blame for snow. Remember that on average an inch of rain equals 10 inches of snow. If he/she predicts 3 inches of rain and it turns out to be only 1.5 hardly anyone says "boo." However in terms of show that is 15 inches versus the predicted 30 inches!!

(7) Rachel, February 1, 2015 11:39 PM

What bothers me

1. So several square miles of the 5 boroughs of NYC got "only" 8 inches of snow. Well, I talked to a friend in a Boston suburb who was sitting in her house as the snow came down hour after hour, praying the power wouldn't go out.

2. You would think that the storm faced deportation by the Canada Border Services Agency if it reached the US-Canada border. All the reports I heard heralded a severe storm "all the way up to Maine." Now, I know these were US networks, but really, there's a big friendly country north of the US border. When I talked to my sister in one of the maritime provinces, she was sitting home watching the snow fall there, too.

3. Finally: Where's the gratitude??? Instead of kvetching that the meteorologists got it wrong, why not be appreciative that G-d spared the largest city on the East Coast from something worse, and that prudent people were prepared because of what had been predicted? As my grandma used to say, "an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure."

LarryB, February 3, 2015 11:57 AM

Meteorologist make mistakes.

It's not about the meteorologist as much as it is about what the media and govt. did because of the prediction.

(6) Lisa, February 1, 2015 7:42 PM

The Know it All !!

Yes....some Rabbis AND Rebbitzens fit into this category of knowing it all !
After 9/11 I got a letter, signed by many well known Rebbitzens, that it was bc we had slits in our skirts....I kid you not!!
Yes....we all need some wiggle room in our humility!!

(5) Jason, February 1, 2015 7:22 PM

What I'm concerned about is what the government was doing while all the roads were closed to public transportation!

(4) Leslie borshy, February 1, 2015 6:57 PM

As the old saying goes, "man plans and G -D laughs"

(3) Fivel, February 1, 2015 6:51 PM

The weather man predicted two feet of snow for Worcester,MA. God gave us three feet. Perhaps He thought that is what we needed.

(2) Moishe, February 1, 2015 4:58 PM

True

A little humility goes a long way, in all fields.
This is especialy true for those rabbis who "know" why such and such a disaster happened, as if they know the mind of God.

(1) LarryB, February 1, 2015 2:05 PM

Algorithm = garbage in garbage out.

They were so sure they cancelled 7000 flights. What bothers me is the media and the people who run them, have become so politicized, they will not even tell the truth about the weather. Unfortunately in America at least half the people cannot - will not, see the connection.

 

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